NOV 19 – Kenya’s textile industry has long stood as a symbol of both promise and neglect. Once employing nearly 30% of the manufacturing workforce and supporting over 200,000 cotton-farming households, the sector has since withered under decades of underinvestment, policy inconsistency, and the influx of second-hand imports.
What was once a proud pillar of industrial employment and export earnings has been reduced to a patchwork of struggling mills, idle ginneries, and farmers who abandoned cotton for survival crops.
A Story of Decline
The liberalization wave of the early 1990s opened Kenya’s market to global competition, but without the infrastructure or capacity to withstand it. Textile mills, unable to compete with cheap imports, shut their doors. By the early 2000s, most large-scale garment manufacturers had either collapsed or were operating at less than 10% capacity. The result was devastating. Factories that once produced millions of metres of fabric became ghost facilities dependent on government bailouts rather than production.
Cotton production plummeted from historic highs to below 10,000 MT annually, dismantling a once-integrated ecosystem of farmers, ginners, and processors. As mills fell silent, the collapse cascaded down the value chain, farmers lost markets, gins rusted away, and rural economies stagnated.
A Window of Opportunity
Three decades later, a window for renewal has opened. Kenya’s Cotton, Textile, and Apparel (CTA) Policy 2024 sets out a clear roadmap for revitalization, emphasizing value-chain integration, private-sector partnerships, and incentives for modernization.
Kenya currently imports about USD 2.2 billion worth of textiles annually, a paradox for a cotton-producing country. Local mills meet less than 45% of domestic fabric demand, representing a massive import-substitution opportunity. If the policy is executed with discipline and focus, even partial import replacement could save the country hundreds of millions in foreign exchange, while exports could triple to USD 2 billion by 2030, up from USD 628 million in 2024.
The multiplier effects are substantial. A thriving textile ecosystem can rejuvenate cotton farming across 24 counties, re-engage 200,000 farmers, and catalyze thousands of indirect jobs in logistics, transport, and retail. This is particularly crucial in a nation where 17.7% of the youth remain unemployed.
At a household level, a predictable cotton market revives rural incomes, while at a national scale, the textile revival strengthens Kenya’s manufacturing share of GDP, reduces trade deficits, and expands export diversification under trade frameworks like AGOA, AfCFTA, and EBA.