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May puts Britain on course for ‘hard’ Brexit

British Prime Minister Theresa May delivers a speech on the government’s plans for Brexit in London on January 17, 2017 © POOL/AFP / Kirsty Wigglesworth

London, United Kingdom, Jan 17 – Prime Minister Theresa May unveiled her Brexit blueprint on Tuesday, announcing for the first time that Britain will leave Europe’s single market in order to control EU immigration.

In a highly-anticipated speech, May warned the EU against imposing harsh terms on Britain’s divorce from the bloc after more than four decades of membership.

She revealed Britain would look to strike a new customs agreement with the EU, enabling it to forge its own trade deals with the rest of the world.

And in a concession to parliamentary critics, the Conservative leader also said lawmakers would get a vote on any final Brexit agreement negotiated with Brussels.

EU leaders have insisted single market membership means accepting free movement — a key issue in Britain’s shock June referendum vote to become the first country to leave the 28-member group.

“Brexit must mean control of the number of people who come to Britain from Europe. And that is what we will deliver,” May told foreign ambassadors in London.

“What I am proposing cannot mean membership of the single market.”

EU immigration to Britain ran at 284,000 in the year to June 2016.

The European Commission’s chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier warned that an orderly divorce from the bloc within the specified two years was a “prerequisite” for any future free trade deal.

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EU president Donald Tusk said May’s plans were “at least more realistic” about what London wanted.

May phoned Tusk and European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker following her speech, telling them the UK would seek the “greatest possible access to it (the single market) through a new, comprehensive, bold and ambitious free trade agreement”, a Downing Street spokeswoman said.

The prime minister also called German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Francois Hollande.

“She told both that the UK wanted the EU to thrive, understood the importance of the ‘four freedoms’ of the single market and that the UK would not be seeking membership of the single market,” May’s spokeswoman said.

In Paris, Hollande “noted” May’s “clarification” and hoped negotiations would start swiftly after Britain formally notifies the EU of its exit, a presidential aide said. May also stressed that British-French ties in security and defence would remain, the source said.

– Good deal or no deal –

Britain has two years to negotiate a break-up deal once May triggers Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, officially declaring the country’s intention to quit, or face leaving with no agreement.

Article 50: the mechanism that triggers the Brexit talks © AFP / Kun TIAN, Sophie RAMIS, Alain BOMMENEL

May said London could accept departing on such terms if Brussels played hardball, but it would hurt the EU hardest.

“No deal for Britain is better than a bad deal for Britain,” she said.

May has promised to trigger Article 50 by the end of March, and said she was confident final settlements could be negotiated within the two-year timeframe.

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Seeking to calm fears of a sudden jolt to the economy on abruptly leaving the EU in 2019, May said she would seek a “phased process of implementation”.

EU countries accounted for 44 percent of Britain’s total exports in goods and services in 2015, with the country recording a £68.6 billion ($82.7 billion, 77.9 billion euros) trade deficit with the bloc.

Britain has two years to negotiate an EU break-up deal once Prime Minister Theresa May triggers Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty © AFP/File / JUSTIN TALLIS

The single market without Britain covers 460 million people.

Brussels has estimated the bill Britain will have to pay at 55 to 60 billion euros, EU sources told AFP.

The British currency has endured a rocky ride since the June referendum, but sterling responded strongly to May’s speech, wiping out losses earlier in the week to stand at $1.2379 at 1730 GMT.

“The prime minister has adopted a more pragmatic approach to Brexit than expected, providing some much needed relief for the pound,” NFS Macro analyst Nick Stamenkovic told AFP. London stocks closed down 1.5 percent at 7,220.38 points.

– Warning on ‘punitive deal’ –

May hinted Britain might undercut the EU economically if it does not get a free trade deal.

Excluded from the single market, May said London would be free to change its economic model and “set competitive tax rates”.

“There are some voices calling for a punitive deal that punishes Britain and discourages other countries from taking the same path.

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“That would be an act of calamitous self-harm for the countries of Europe.”

Britain joined the European Economic Community in 1973 but was often an uncomfortable partner as the grouping moved to greater integration, refusing to join the euro currency or the Schengen open borders zone.

May said Britain voted to leave because Europe had not been flexible enough for voters on key issues, but Britain nonetheless wanted the EU to succeed, not unravel.

She said Britain would remain a key intelligence and security partner in Europe, as she couched her speech as repositioning Britain as an outward-looking global trading player.

Professor Anand Menon, director of The UK in a Changing Europe research initiative, said: “Her ability to achieve the ambitions she set out will ultimately hinge on what her partners are willing to give her.”

Scotland’s nationalist First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said May’s speech had made Scottish independence likelier.

“The UK is heading for a hard Brexit, which threatens to be economically catastrophic,” she said.

A new independence referendum is now “even more likely”.

German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier said May had “finally brought a bit more clarity”.

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“We also want as good, close and trusting a relationship as possible,” he said.

Britain’s Supreme Court is due to rule later this month on whether May must seek parliamentary approval before triggering Article 50, which could delay the start of negotiations.


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