, NAIROBI, Kenya Dec 21 – A new survey by IPSOS shows that 50 percent of Kenyans will vote for President Uhuru Kenyatta if elections were held today.
“More less the same as the 51 percent we saw for Jubilee, 50 percent said they would vote for the incumbent – Uhuru Kenyatta,” IPSOS lead researcher Tom Wolf said Wednesday when he released the survey.
He added that 22 percent of Kenyans would vote for CORD leader Raila Odinga while another two percent would elect Wiper Leader Kalonzo Musyoka, while 1 per cent will vote for Amani’s Musalia Mudavadi.
The survey conducted between 17th and 19th of December among 1,000 respondents further shows that Jubilee is the most popular party at 51 percent followed by CORD and its constituent parties at 27 percent.
“On the opposition side, if you add ODM’s 19 percent, CORD alliance 6 percent and 2 percent of Wiper, you get 27 percent, you see the advantage that Jubilee has over CORD of about double, 51 vs 27 percent,” the lead researcher for IPSOS told a news conference.
Whereas there is no one challenging the current President for the nomination within Jubilee for the presidential candidacy, he said, “we don’t know who the opposition candidate will be or how many they will be. In a way we are comparing apples with oranges. Once the opposition has announced who their candidates will be, we will have more realistic figures.”
The survey further identified Jubilee as the most popular party with 45 percent of the respondents identifying with it and another six percent identifying with Jubilee Alliance which no longer exists.
“Although nearly half of Kenyans identify with Jubilee in one shape or another, there was another shape who named Jubilee Alliance. It seems they are not aware of what happened in Kasarani, so you can actually add the 6 percent of Jubilee Alliance to Jubilee Party and you get the 51 percent,” he said.
ODM was the second most popular party with a wide gap of 19 percent, followed by CORD Alliance at 6 percent and wiper at 2 percent giving the opposition 27 percent of support.
Wolf however, noted that a good number of Kenyans were undecided about their choice of candidates and parties.
For party affiliation, 11 percent of Kenyans were undecided, three percent did not support any party while 6 percent declined to respond to the question.
For presidential candidates, 16 percent were undecided and seven percent refused to respond.
The research further showed that 50 percent of Kenyans believed that President Kenyatta was sincere with his fight against corruption.
The polls released on Wednesday also found that 51 percent of Kenyans want doctors paid the entire 300 per cent pay increase agreed in the 2013 Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA).