, TOKYO, September 3 – Yuriko Koike emerged Wednesday as a possible contender to be Japan’s first female prime minister, with heavyweights in the ailing ruling party urging her to challenge conservative favourite Taro Aso.
Koike, 56, a former television anchorwoman who has been a defence minister and environment minister, has stayed coy on whether she will contest a party vote on September 22 to replace outgoing Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda.
Fukuda, who has faced months of low poll ratings, announced his resignation Monday, plunging Japan’s long-dominant ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) into crisis mode.
Liberal Democratic Party General Elections must be held by September 2009, but the government is in trouble against an emboldened opposition while the economy, the world’s second biggest, is teetering on the verge of recession.
"I want to consider what we need in general, rather than my own individual situation," Koike told reporters when asked if she would seek the top job.
"I’m contacting various people since you can’t play a baseball game all by yourself."
Hidenao Nakagawa, the former number two of the party and a backroom fixer, hinted at his support for Koike following their meeting Tuesday, saying: "We have to pick a candidate among reformists."
The vote is for the LDP’s president, who then becomes prime minister.
Koike, an expert on the Middle East and fluent in both English and Arabic, is known for her close ties with reformist premier Junichiro Koizumi, who was popular during his 2001-2006 tenure.
Fukuda She belongs to the LDP’s largest faction. Its head, Chief Cabinet Secretary Nobutaka Machimura, hinted he supported a competitive race.
"All of us share the view that it’s desirable for the LDP, which has been driven to the edge of a cliff in a sense, to hold an active, fair election to elect its president," said Machimura, the government number two.
But the Asahi Shimbun reported that 23 of the LDP’s 47 prefectural chapters have already made up their minds to back Aso, a former foreign minister.
"The front-runner is Aso. That’s for sure. For the LDP, Koike is a gamble," said Hidekazu Kawai, honorary professor of politics at Gakushuin University in Tokyo.
He likened Koike to the failed US Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, saying she would energise Japanese women voters.
Japan has one of the developed world’s lowest rates of female representation among politicians and corporate executives. Only 89, or 12 percent, of the 722 members of parliament are women.
"It may be no exaggeration that the survival of the LDP depends on the upcoming election," Kawai said.
The conservative party has been in power for all but 10 months since it was created in 1955. But it lost control of one house last year to the opposition, which contends that the LDP’s free-market reforms hurt ordinary people.
Political observers speculate that the next prime minister could seize on any initial popularity to call a snap election.
Aso has run unsuccessfully three times to be prime minister. The former Olympic marksman is known for his hawkish views, although he has softened his image in recent years by highlighting his love of comic books and pop culture.
Currently the LDP’s secretary general, he is expected to formally announce his candidacy on Monday and propose election pledges, including new stimulus measures to put the brakes on an economic slowdown.
"From a common-sense perspective, Secretary General Aso will become" the next prime minister, Takashi Sasagawa, chairman of the LDP’s general affairs committee, told a television news programme on Tuesday.
Among other potential candidates are Seiko Noda, who is consumer affairs minister, along with former finance minister Fukushiro Nukaga and Nobuteru Ishihara, son of nationalist Tokyo Governor Shintaro Ishihara.