{"id":73256,"date":"2021-08-16T13:56:26","date_gmt":"2021-08-16T10:56:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.capitalfm.co.ke\/business\/?p=73256"},"modified":"2021-08-16T13:56:26","modified_gmt":"2021-08-16T10:56:26","slug":"inaccurate-solar-production-estimates-impacting-businesses-negatively","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.capitalfm.co.ke\/business\/2021\/08\/inaccurate-solar-production-estimates-impacting-businesses-negatively\/","title":{"rendered":"Inaccurate solar production estimates impacting businesses negatively"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>A new report has revealed that biases in the estimation of solar production in Africa can lead to up to a 20 percent reduction in savings for African businesses.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>This is according the\u00a0<em style=\"font-weight: inherit\">Measuring Solar Irradiation in Africa: A case for change<\/em>\u00a0by CrossBoundary Energy which adds that such biases also cause between 1 and 2 percent reduction in the internal rate of return for solar developers and investors.<\/p>\n<p>The report also indicates current methods that the solar industry uses for estimating solar production across the continent are unreliable.<\/p>\n<p>Commenting on the report, Lenny Matei, co-author and Senior Project Engineer at CrossBoundary Energy, says that for most commercial and industrial (C&amp;I) clients, a major factor in awarding projects is the electricity tariff and resulting savings offered.<\/p>\n<p>He added that an often-overlooked factor is the estimated solar irradiation on site \u2013 which can have a significant impact forecasted production and, thus, expected savings.<\/p>\n<p>CrossBoundary Energy operates solar plants for businesses in Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria and Rwanda, and has a pipeline of over 300MW of projects across Africa.<\/p>\n<p>An analysis of two operational sites, in Nairobi, Kenya and Accra, Ghana, revealed that actual irradiation \u2013 measured by project ground-based measurement systems \u2013 deviated 3-5 percent from the satellite data widely accepted as accurate for making production forecasts during solar design.<\/p>\n<p>This translated into an equal deviation of 3-5 percent in solar power production estimates, while all other factors are held constant.<\/p>\n<p>The report also found that sites outside of major cities experience even higher biases.<\/p>\n<p>Due to variable microclimates created by diverse topography, satellite solar irradiation estimates for sites nestled in highlands, valleys, or next to lakes can be biased by up to 20 percent.<\/p>\n<p>The findings are in line with kWh Analytics\u2019 inaugural 2020 Solar Generation Index Report, which found that that 25 percent of U.S. solar projects surveyed missed their 3-year forecasted production targets by over 10 percent.<\/p>\n<p>The American solar risk management firm attributed this result in part to over reliance on biased satellite data for production estimates.<\/p>\n<p>CrossBoundary Energy\u2019s report goes on to say that, a result of systems under performing their production estimates, C&amp;I clients in African metropolitan areas could fail to realize 4-5 percent of their projected savings from solar, while those outside major cities risk savings reductions up to 20 percent.<\/p>\n<p>The risk is even higher for off-grid solar customers, such as mining companies, which use generators to supplement renewable power and could carry unexpected increases in fuel costs to offset unmet power needs.<\/p>\n<p>For investors, such systemic under performance can reduce the projected IRR by up to 1 percent for urban sites, while diverse portfolios of urban and rural assets could see deviations from projected IRR of greater than 1 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Phuthi Tsatsi, co-author and Business Development Associate at CrossBoundary Energy, says, \u201cUntil we all recognize the shortcomings of how we currently forecast, the growth of the African distributed solar market as a whole \u2013 and its promise to neutralize the carbon footprint of the continent\u2019s growing industries \u2013 rests on a fractured foundation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBy highlighting this issue, we aim to begin a broader conversation about how to raise the C&amp;I industry standard for solar production forecasting to deliver better outcomes for clients.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The report recommends collaborative actions that African solar developers and data providers can take to improve African irradiation estimates over the long-term, but also practical steps C&amp;I solar buyers and investors can implement on their own to protect themselves against overoptimistic production estimates.<\/p>\n<p>These include ideas such as requiring disclosure of irradiance estimates as part of competitive tenders or investing in on-site weather stations.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A new report has revealed that biases in the estimation of solar production in Africa can lead to up to a 20 percent reduction in savings for African businesses. This is according the\u00a0Measuring Solar Irradiation in Africa: A case for change\u00a0by CrossBoundary Energy which adds that such biases also cause between 1 and 2 percent [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13754,"featured_media":73257,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,687],"tags":[934],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-73256","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kenya","category-top-stories","tag-featured"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.7.1 (Yoast SEO v27.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Inaccurate solar production estimates impacting businesses negatively - Capital Business<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A new report has revealed that biases in the estimation of solar production in Africa can lead to up to a 20 percent reduction in savings for African Kenya breaking news | Kenya news today |\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalfm.co.ke\/business\/2021\/08\/inaccurate-solar-production-estimates-impacting-businesses-negatively\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Inaccurate solar production estimates impacting businesses negatively\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A new report has revealed that biases in the estimation of solar production in Africa can lead to up to a 20 percent reduction in savings for African Kenya breaking news | Kenya news today |\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.capitalfm.co.ke\/business\/2021\/08\/inaccurate-solar-production-estimates-impacting-businesses-negatively\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Capital Business\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"http:\/\/facebook.com\/capitalfmkenya\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-08-16T10:56:26+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.capitalfm.co.ke\/business\/files\/2021\/08\/The-Xflora-Group-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1180\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"MARGARET NJUGUNAH\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@capitalfmkenya\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@capitalfmkenya\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"MARGARET NJUGUNAH\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.capitalfm.co.ke\\\/business\\\/2021\\\/08\\\/inaccurate-solar-production-estimates-impacting-businesses-negatively\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.capitalfm.co.ke\\\/business\\\/2021\\\/08\\\/inaccurate-solar-production-estimates-impacting-businesses-negatively\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"MARGARET NJUGUNAH\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.capitalfm.co.ke\\\/business\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d8c5b8549c9847d639ec634afb48f11d\"},\"headline\":\"Inaccurate solar production estimates impacting businesses negatively\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-08-16T10:56:26+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.capitalfm.co.ke\\\/business\\\/2021\\\/08\\\/inaccurate-solar-production-estimates-impacting-businesses-negatively\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":606,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.capitalfm.co.ke\\\/business\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.capitalfm.co.ke\\\/business\\\/2021\\\/08\\\/inaccurate-solar-production-estimates-impacting-businesses-negatively\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.capitalfm.co.ke\\\/business\\\/files\\\/2021\\\/08\\\/The-Xflora-Group-scaled.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"featured\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Kenya\",\"Top Story\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.capitalfm.co.ke\\\/business\\\/2021\\\/08\\\/inaccurate-solar-production-estimates-impacting-businesses-negatively\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.capitalfm.co.ke\\\/business\\\/2021\\\/08\\\/inaccurate-solar-production-estimates-impacting-businesses-negatively\\\/\",\"name\":\"Inaccurate solar production estimates impacting businesses negatively - 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