As the two US presidential candidates battle over how to reduce the deficit, the National Association of Business Economists came down clearly on the side of President Barack Obama’s Democrats.
A poll of the group’s members showed 45 percent favoring more stimulus spending next year and 22 percent for keeping current levels unchanged. Only one-third wanted more restrictive fiscal stimulus next year.
However, a majority, 54 percent, believed that spending should be cut back in 2014, whereas only a quarter felt the need for still more stimulus spending that year.
“Generally, there is not much support among the economists surveyed for policy tightening over the next 12 months,” NABE said.
Meanwhile, the economists backed a balanced approach to trimming the deficit when it comes.
Of the 236 NABE members surveyed in August, 45 percent believe that deficit cutting should involve equally tax increases and spending cuts.
Another 31 percent felt that the reduction effort should involve “mostly” spending cuts, while 14 percent felt it should mostly come from tax hikes.
The findings weighed into the heated presidential and congressional election battle, with a key issue ahead of the November 6 vote how to address the gaping US budget deficit and debt burden.
Obama rival Mitt Romney’s Republicans are pressing to slash spending and strongly oppose raising taxes, while Democrats advocate a more tax-focused effort to boost government revenues.
Most of the economists also backed tax reform that would increase revenues, via eliminating various tax loopholes and subsidies that many wealthy households and large businesses enjoy.
But NABE also said that an “overwhelming majority” of those surveyed felt that the main issue holding back the US economy is policy uncertainty that has arisen from the stalemate between the two parties.