Oil prices above 71 dollars

June 19, 2009

, SINGAPORE, Jun 19 – Oil prices lingered above 71 dollars a barrel in Asian trade Friday, spurred by hopes that the worst is over for the ailing global economy, analysts said.

New York\’s main futures contract, light sweet crude for delivery in July, was up 12 cents to 71.49 dollars a barrel in afternoon trade.

Brent North Sea crude for August delivery advanced 21 cents to 71.27  dollars.
"I think the general mood is that we\’re past the worst of the downturn," said Mark Pervan, a senior commodities analyst with ANZ Bank in Melbourne.

"It continues to be a pre-emptive market in a sense that they are pricing on positive news."

Positive US data and stronger demand energised the market, analysts said.

The US Department of Energy reported a sharper-than-expected fall in crude inventories last week.

On Thursday, a US business research firm said the index of leading economic indicators, a measure of conditions in the coming months, increased 1.2 percent in May from the previous month, beating market expectations.

The index had been on a downward trend since hitting a peak in July 2007, the Conference Board said.

Developments in the recession-hit US economy are closely monitored because it is the biggest in the world and is a major buyer of the world\’s exports.

Pervan said crude prices were also closely pegged to the value of the dollar, which has been under pressure.

"I think there\’s still a high correlation with the dollar… instead of on market fundamentals like supply and demand," he said.

A weaker US currency makes dollar-priced crude cheaper for buyers holding stronger currencies. That tends to stimulate demand and push the market higher.

After plunging from record highs above 147 dollars last July on supply concerns, oil prices touched multi-year lows of around 32 dollars in December as the economic slowdown crushed demand for energy but they have slowly clawed back since.

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