Synovate survey contradicts rival pollster on ICC

February 6, 2012 12:45 pm


Graphs showing resposne by Kenyans in a survey/CFM
NAIROBI, Kenya, Feb 6 – A new opinion poll by Ipsos-Synovate sharply contradicts findings of another pollster released last week on the views Kenyans hold following the confirmation of charges by the International Criminal Court (ICC) against four individuals, for crimes against humanity.

The Ipsos-Synovate poll shows that 60 percent of Kenyans are satisfied with the ICC ruling as opposed to the Smart Octopus Research Company survey, which showed that 73 percent of Kenyans were against the verdict.

The Ipsos-Synovate survey conducted between January 27 and February 1 just after the ICC Pre-Trial Chamber II’s decision to confirm charges against Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta, Eldoret North MP William Ruto, immediate former Civil Service boss Francis Muthaura and radio presenter Joshua arap Sang, showed that over 70 percent of people in the Coast, Western and Nyanza Provinces were happy with the ICC decision.

According to the research, (which you can download here) Nairobi Province which is more cosmopolitan had a 68 percent approval of the court’s decision.

Rift Valley and Central provinces which are strongholds of Kenyatta and Ruto were less content at 50 percent and 42 percent respectively.

“Satisfaction levels are higher in Coast (75 percent), Western (75 percent), Nyanza (74 percent) and Nairobi (68 percent),” the findings of the Ipsos-Synovate survey show.

Out of the 1,523 respondents interviewed, 79 percent of them were aware of the ruling that also saw charges against Tinderet MP Henry Kosgey and former Police Commissioner Hussein Ali dropped. Only 21 percent claimed not to know if the charges were confirmed or not.

Eighty percent of Kenyans were in favour of Kenyatta and Muthaura resigning from public office following the indictments.

The research further revealed the 62 percent of people were in support of Kenyatta stepping aside also from his position as the Deputy Prime Minister, with Coast Province being in the lead at 81 percent followed by Western and Nyanza Provinces with over 70 percent of the people supporting the idea of him vacating the political position.

“Thirty-Five percent would rather he holds his position whilst 3 percent do not know what to recommend,” the research showed.

According to the report, 69 percent of Kenyans are hopeful that the next general election will be violence free.

Ipsos-Synovate further found that the ICC decision had negligible impact on the presidential race as Kenyatta’s support grew while that of Prime Minister Raila Odinga was on a decline. Read related story here.

Odinga still remains the most preferred candidate at 31 percent followed by Kenyatta at 24 percent, and Kalonzo Musyoka at 10 percent according to the research.

Ruto came in fourth at six percent.


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